GeopoliticsClub Zurich
ZurichVol. I · No. 18Reports on geopolitics and the world economy

About the club

Club history

Since November 2025

Timeline

  1. 2026

    18 reports

  2. The Deep File title screen: the game's pixel logo over the Reading Room library, with the bookcase slid open on the archive lift and the archivist lion smiling beside it

    Milestone

    The Deep File goes live

    The club's daily geopolitics game opens: seven questions a day, any valid answer counts, and the rarer it is, the deeper the archive lift goes through a hundred rooms of history. Play today's file

  3. SecuritySuez Canal, Egypt

    Did the Suez crisis end Britain and France as world powers?

    Seventy years after the Suez war, how far the crisis ended Britain and France as world powers: their shares of world output, sterling, the loss of empire after 1956, and how the United States and the Soviet Union took the lead in the Middle East.

    Yair Segal and Nicolas Centorame · 13 min readRead on LinkedIn

  4. SecurityBern, Switzerland

    The Swiss bomb that never was: Switzerland's nuclear weapons programme, 1945 to 1988

    From a colonel's letter nine days after Hiroshima to the dissolution of the last committee in 1988: what official records show about Switzerland's plans, costs and votes on nuclear weapons, and why the programme never went beyond studies.

    Yair Segal · 10 min readRead on LinkedIn

  5. Milestone

    On GitHub

    The data and code team opens the club's GitHub, for its own projects beside the reports.

  6. Milestone

    Victor Sieber joins

    Victor Sieber takes the Head seat for Macroeconomics and joins the data and code team.

  7. SecurityBamako, Mali

    Private armies, from the East India Company to the Sahel

    How states have used private armed force from the East India Company to Russia's deployments in Mali, what is documented about how it is paid for, and how regulation such as the Swiss-led Montreux Document has responded.

    Nicolas Centorame · 11 min readRead on LinkedIn

  8. DemographyPolish-Belarusian border

    People as Pressure: When Moving Human Beings Becomes an Instrument

    How states move people to put pressure on a rival or to build a nation, from the Belarus border crisis of 2021 back to the population exchange of 1923 and the Partition of India.

    Yair Segal and Nicolas Centorame · 9 min readRead on LinkedIn

  9. Milestone

    The website goes live

    The club's website opens at geopoliticsclub.ch, with its reports, the team and news from the club in one place.

  10. CommoditiesRiau Islands, Indonesia

    The Most-Mined Substance You Never Worry About

    Fifty billion tonnes a year, desert sand that cannot be used, islands dredged out of existence, and a trade that is two-thirds illegal.

    Nicolas Centorame · 8 min readRead on LinkedIn

  11. TechnologyBaltic Sea

    The Internet Lives on the Seabed

    Almost all intercontinental data runs through a few hundred undersea cables, repaired by a small ageing fleet and protected by little law, seen through the anchor-dragging incidents in the Baltic and around Taiwan.

    Nicolas Centorame · 9 min readRead on LinkedIn

  12. CommoditiesStrait of Hormuz

    When the Strait Closes: What 353 Days of Tanker Data Actually Say About Hormuz and the Oil Price

    IMF vessel-tracking data against the Brent price: a correlation of minus 0.74 that disappears when the sample is split in half.

    Noah Vella · 12 min readRead on LinkedIn

  13. CommoditiesBaar, Switzerland

    Four Futures for Glencore: Scenario Analysis for a Company Caught Between Blocs

    Congo's cobalt export halt of February 2025 and four scenarios for the most exposed trader, half an hour from Zurich.

    Yair Segal · 11 min readRead on LinkedIn

  14. CommoditiesBaotou, China

    China Doesn't Mine Rare Earths: It Refines Them

    China's hold on rare earths rests on refining capacity that the West gave up decades ago. A new mine in Australia does not change that.

    Nicolas Centorame · 10 min readRead on LinkedIn

  15. SecurityIstanbul, Türkiye

    Faith as Statecraft: The Orthodox Schism and the Battle for Spiritual Sovereignty

    A document signed in Istanbul in 2019 severed a bond of three centuries, and Moscow reacted as if it had lost territory.

    Nicolas Centorame · 10 min readRead on LinkedIn

  16. TradeGeneva, Switzerland

    The Court That Quietly Stopped Working: How the World Lost Its Referee for Trade

    The WTO's appeals court lost its quorum in December 2019 and its last member left in November 2020. How one member blocked new appointments, what 'appealing into the void' means, and the interim arrangement that dozens of members built without the United States.

    Nicolas Centorame · 9 min readRead on LinkedIn

  17. CommoditiesKhouribga, Morocco

    No Phosphate, No Food: The Kingdom That Feeds the World

    Nitrogen comes from air and potassium from mines on every continent. Phosphorus cannot be synthesised, and about 70 per cent of the world's reserves lie under Morocco and occupied Western Sahara.

    Nicolas Centorame · 9 min readRead on LinkedIn

  18. TechnologyStarbase, United States

    Homesteading the Sky: How Orbit Became the New Strategic High Ground

    One company now operates about two-thirds of all working satellites, under a treaty written in 1967. Spectrum filings, debris and rival blocs are now deciding who controls low-Earth orbit.

    Nicolas Centorame · 15 min readRead on LinkedIn

  19. CommoditiesGulf of Finland

    Phantom Flags: How the Collapse of Maritime Law Is Rewriting the Geopolitics of Energy

    More than a thousand shadow-fleet tankers sail under false or changing flags with unknown insurers. How the fleet works, how states respond, and what it means for oil markets and the law of the sea.

    Nicolas Centorame · 20 min readRead on LinkedIn

  20. TechnologySpruce Pine, United States

    How White Quartz from the Appalachian Mountains Underpins the Semiconductor Supply Chain

    High-purity quartz from Spruce Pine, Hurricane Helene and China's search for its own supply.

    Nicolas Centorame · 11 min readRead on LinkedIn

  21. DemographySeoul, South Korea

    The Digital Frontline: Demography, Patriarchy, and Strategic Contraction in South Korea

    A fertility rate of 0.72, digital gender conflict and the strategic cost of a shrinking population.

    Noah Vella and Nicolas Centorame · 9 min readRead on LinkedIn

  22. SecurityHanoi, Vietnam

    Between Partnership and Suspicion: Vietnam's Strategic Calculus Between Washington, China and History

    Why Hanoi deepens ties with Washington while preparing for the worst case, read through leaked military documents and the Spratly build-up.

    Nicolas Centorame · 10 min readRead on LinkedIn

  23. FinanceCaracas, Venezuela

    BRICS Under Pressure: How U.S. Control Over Venezuelan Oil Complicates De-Dollarization

    After the January 2026 intervention, 746,000 barrels a day that China paid for in yuan return to the dollar system. The case shows the limits of BRICS as a monetary bloc.

    Noah Vella, Yair Segal and Nicolas Centorame · 5 min readRead on LinkedIn

  24. 2025

  25. Milestone

    On LinkedIn

    The club opens its LinkedIn page, where every report is published in full.

  26. Milestone

    Founded

    Founding meeting of Geopolitics Club Zurich.

  27. 2024

  28. Milestone

    The idea

    The club starts as a project among friends.